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ABSTRACT
Comparison of last year's NOAA Climate Prediction Center
(CPC) 30-day and 90-day precipitation and temperature forecasts for the winter period of December-February (DJF)
2015-2016 with the actual observed conditons.
ANALYSIS
Winter
Precipitation:
The CPC Winter Precipitation Outlook DJF
2015-16 did poorly at capturing the record precipitation in the Pacific
Northwest and the negative precipitation anomalies for
the southern half of California. Likewise, the Great lakes and Midwest
were out of phase with the forecast. It did capture the positive anomalies
across the Southeats and Atlantic Seaboard.
Winter Temperature: The CPC Winter Temperature Outlook
was out of phase with the below normal temperatures from Texas across
teh Gulf Coast, but pretty much hit everywhere else that was above
normal.
Monthly Precipitation and Temperature Analyses:
Forecast and observed conditons are graphically also depicted below.
| Winter 2015-2016
Precipitation |
| NOAA CPC
90-Day Precipitation Outlook DJF 2015-2016 |
Observed
DJF 2015-2016 Precipitation Anomalies |
 |
 |
| Winter 2015-2016 Temperature |
| NOAA CPC
90-Day Temperature Outlook DJF 2015-2016 |
Observed
DJF 2015-2016 Temperature Anomalies |
 |
 |
December 2015
Precipitation |
| NOAA CPC
Precipitation Outlook December 2015 |
Observed
December 2015 Precipitation Anomaly |
 |
 |
| December 2015
Temperature |
| NOAA CPC
Temperature Outlook December 2015 |
Observed
December 2015 Temperature Anomalies |
 |
 |
January 2016 Precipitation |
| NOAA CPC
Precipitation Outlook January 2016 |
Observed
January 2016 Precipitation Anomlies |
 |
 |
| January 2016 Temperature |
| NOAA CPC
Temperature Outlook January 2016 |
Observed
January 2016 Temperature Anomalies |
 |
 |
February 2016
Precipitation |
| NOAA CPC
Precipitation Outlook February 2016 |
Observed
February 2016 Precipitation Anomalies |
 |
 |
| February 2016 Temperature |
| NOAA CPC
Temperature Outlook February 2016 |
Observed
February 2016 Temperature Anomalies |
 |
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DATA SOURCES
The 30-day and 90-day outlooks were retreived from the
NOAA
Climate Prediction Center (CPC)
archives and the corresponding observed temperature and precipitation
data were downloaded from
NOAA ESRL
Climate Division Data.
CPC Gridded Seasonal Verifications
can be found at
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/tools/briefing/seas_veri.grid.php
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